Northlake Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment advisor offering investment advisory services to high net worth individuals and their affiliated entities. Northlake specializes in the management of equity portfolios using a "Core and Explore" strategy. "Core and Explore" combines a small portfolio of exchange traded index funds (ETFs) with a select basket of individual stocks.
Most of the ETFs are selected using a monthly model that rotates funds among small, mid, and large capitalization stocks and growth and value stocks. Back tests of these models show superior returns since 1980. Successful investments for real clients have been achieved since early 2004. Northlake recently an International theme to its ETF rotation strategy via investment in ETFs which track stock markets in five different regions of the world. more...
What We Do
I've spent my entire 24 year investment management career in a long-only environment serving mostly high-net-worth individual investors and their related retirement and charitable accounts. During the 1980s and the first half of the 1990s, I had a lot of success as measured by my ability to produce a return in excess of the S&P 500 on an annual basis. This is still my goal, whether in up or down markets. Until the second half of the 1990s, I felt I had an edge because of good analysis and my ability to get to sources of information that weren't widely available to individual investors. This was true of all professional investors and, as a group, we had a good thing going.
The late 1990s' bull market coincided with the rise of the Internet and other advances in communications technology. More information was available and it flowed faster. Stock prices responded more quickly. The decline in trading costs accelerated and ultimately trading costs collapsed. All this led to increased competition. It became easy to set up new money management firms. Individual investors had inexpensive access to tools formally exclusive to the pros. The bull market fueled demand. What happened was obvious: Long-only money managers faced a new environment where traditional methods of beating the market no longer worked; their edge was gone. more...
"Most stock market analysis is open to subjective, selective manipulations. Therefore, we use only objective indicators and go with the weight of the objective indicator evidence."
-- Ned Davis, Ned Davis Research, Institutional Hotline,
Cycles and Barometers Everywhere, 2/14/05.
NDR provides research support for Northlake Capital Management, LLC
Latest Posts from Media Talk
December 02, 2013
Model Volatility Continues as Mid Cap Gains FavroNorthlake’s Market Cap model shifted back to Mid Cap after a brief, one month stop at large cap in November. As a result of the new signal, client positions in the Russell 2000 (IWM) were sold and the proceeds were reinvested in the S&P 400 mid Cap (MDY). There was no change to the Style model, which continues to recommend Growth over Value. Client holdings in the Russell 1000 Growth (IWF) will be held for...
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November 12, 2013
Liberty Media Simplifies, Starz Hunts HitsLiberty Media (LMCA) and its former subsidiary Starz (STRZA) reported earnings last week. LMCA is an asset play where value is created through its ownership of significant stakes in other public companies, including a majority interest in Sirius XM Satellite Radio and 25-30% stakes in Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) and Charter Communications (CHTR). LMCA also owns a variety of other investments generally connected to media and communications. Given LMCA does not operate an actual business,...
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Liberty Global Set to Accelerate Growth in 2014Liberty Global (LBTYK) reported results that matched Wall Street expectations with rebased revenue and EBITDA growth of 3%. New subscriber growth surprised meaningfully to the upside following last quarter’s disappointing growth. Investors have been worried about the second half of 2013 growth due to tough competition in Netherlands and England and last quarter’s modest slowing in Germany. LBYTK shares moved sharply highly following the report, recovering much of their recent losses. It appears there is...
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Qualcomm Guidance Raises QuestionsQualcomm (QCOM) reported 4Q13 results mostly in line with expectations. However, guidance for 2014 indicated slower growth in units and a slight decrease in average selling prices. The guidance led analysts to reduce their outlook for revenues and operating income for 2014. However, QCOM’s commitment to large share repurchases leaves earnings estimates unchanged at a little over $5. Two issues are leading management to be cautious. First, QCOM is increasingly reliant on just Samsung and...
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CBS Lacks Usual Upside But Upside IntactCBS reported solid but unspectacular third quarter 2013 results. EPS matched Wall Street consensus of 76 cents, up from 64 cents a year ago. Revenue grew 11% but EBITDA was up only 4%. Revenue was a little ahead of estimates, while EBITDA fell slightly short. Unlike many recent quarters, CBS did not show an upside earnings surprise. CBS shares retreated following the report although the decline came amid a large sell-off in media stocks on...
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